A New York Times-Siena College survey released on Sunday indicates that in five of the six most significant battleground states, former President Donald Trump leads President Biden by significant margins.
In Nevada, Trump leads Biden by a staggering 10 points, in Georgia, by six points, in Arizona and Michigan, by five points, and in Pennsylvania, by four points. In Wisconsin, where he leads Trump by two points, Biden has the only lead.
Throughout the 2020 election, Biden had beaten Trump in the six states. When the polling from all six states is combined, Trump leads Biden 48–44.
In the race for the 2020 presidential contest, Biden barely won Nevada, where Trump has 52% of the vote to Biden’s 41%.
The margin of sampling error for each poll ranges from 4.4 to 4.8 points, and the head-to-head showdown is only theoretical because primary voting doesn’t start until the next year. Trump continues to lead the Republican field by a wide margin, while Biden is strongly predicted to win the Democratic nominee. Last month, Biden faced opposition from Minnesota Representative Dean Phillips in the primary.
The Times/Siena poll is rife with discontent, with most respondents claiming that Mr. Biden’s policies have personally harmed them. The poll also demonstrates the extent to which the alliance of various racial and generational groups that backed Mr. Biden during his victory is disintegrating. Given that two-thirds of people think the country is moving in the wrong direction, there is now much more rivalry among the demographic groupings that overwhelmingly backed Mr. Biden in 2020.
From October 22 to November 3, 3,662 voters who were registered in the six states participated in the NYT-Siena College poll.
Trump’s victory was also aided by historically high levels of support among black voters, who, according to the New York Times, chose him over Biden in a record 22% of the six states.
The most recent polling from battleground states highlights the significant obstacles that Biden’s reelection campaign faces, such as poor job approval ratings and doubts about his maturity and capacity to lead the nation. The poll numbers for Biden are particularly noteworthy in light of Trump’s growing legal issues. There are four indictments totaling 91 criminal accusations against the former president. He entered a not-guilty plea to every accusation.
In the event that Biden wins the presidency in 2024, 49% of voters said that the likelihood of American involvement in a war would rise and 23% predicted that it would fall under Biden’s direction. Twenty-three percent responded that if he were elected again, nothing would change.
Some Democrats are putting pressure on Biden to support an early cessation of hostilities between Israel and Hamas. After Hamas launched a fatal attack in Gaza last month, Biden has stated that he supports Israel’s efforts to destroy the organization. However, he has pushed Israel to abide by international war regulations and take extra precautions to prevent civilian losses.
Americans Believe That They Will Be Stronger Financially If Trump Reelected
According to a recent CBS News poll, 45% of Americans thought that if the former president were successful in his third attempt to win the presidency, their financial situation would improve. Twenty-three percent said nothing would change and another thirty-two percent indicated they would be worse off financially if Trump wins.
Domestic issues like the economy typically influence American voters’ decisions more than global affairs. However, the results of both surveys indicate that Biden is unpopular on several subjects, particularly national security.